Pre-tourney Rankings
Penn St.
Big Ten
2017-18
Overall
Predictive Rating+12.1#28
Expected Predictive Rating+9.7#57
Pace68.9#181
Improvement+2.4#76

Offense
Total Offense+6.1#28
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#1
Layup/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement+3.0#48

Defense
Total Defense+6.1#28
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#1
Layups/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement-0.6#205
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.5% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 12.5% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.1 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four12.1% n/a n/a
First Round7.2% n/a n/a
Second Round3.4% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen1.4% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.5% n/a n/a
Final Four0.2% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2017 235   Campbell W 86-75 95%     1 - 0 +3.8 -3.6 -3.6
  Nov 12, 2017 279   Fairleigh Dickinson W 81-57 97%     2 - 0 +14.0 -5.0 -5.0
  Nov 15, 2017 83   Montana W 70-57 79%     3 - 0 +16.5 +1.7 +1.7
  Nov 17, 2017 227   Columbia W 79-65 95%     4 - 0 +7.1 -3.4 -3.4
  Nov 20, 2017 204   Pittsburgh W 85-54 91%     5 - 0 +28.5 -1.3 -1.3
  Nov 21, 2017 30   Texas A&M L 87-98 50%     5 - 1 +1.0 +6.0 +6.0
  Nov 24, 2017 232   Oral Roberts W 86-48 95%     6 - 1 +30.9 -3.6 -3.6
  Nov 29, 2017 39   @ North Carolina St. L 78-85 43%     6 - 2 +7.0 +7.0 +7.0
  Dec 02, 2017 86   @ Iowa W 77-73 61%     7 - 2 1 - 0 +13.3 +4.7 +4.7
  Dec 04, 2017 64   Wisconsin L 63-64 75%     7 - 3 1 - 1 +4.3 +2.6 +2.6
  Dec 09, 2017 176   George Washington W 74-54 92%     8 - 3 +16.1 -1.9 -1.9
  Dec 17, 2017 205   @ George Mason W 72-54 86%     9 - 3 +18.3 +0.2 +0.2
  Dec 19, 2017 303   Binghamton W 80-65 98%     10 - 3 +3.6 -5.7 -5.7
  Dec 22, 2017 136   Rider L 70-71 89%     10 - 4 -2.3 -0.6 -0.6
  Dec 30, 2017 347   Coppin St. W 88-43 99%     11 - 4 +25.0 -10.0 -10.0
  Jan 02, 2018 45   @ Maryland L 69-75 45%     11 - 5 1 - 2 +7.5 +6.7 +6.7
  Jan 05, 2018 79   Northwestern W 78-63 78%     12 - 5 2 - 2 +18.9 +2.0 +2.0
  Jan 09, 2018 66   @ Indiana L 70-74 55%     12 - 6 2 - 3 +7.0 +5.5 +5.5
  Jan 12, 2018 51   Nebraska W 76-74 OT 70%     13 - 6 3 - 3 +8.7 +3.3 +3.3
  Jan 15, 2018 109   Minnesota L 84-95 OT 84%     13 - 7 3 - 4 -9.6 +0.7 +0.7
  Jan 20, 2018 79   @ Northwestern L 61-70 58%     13 - 8 3 - 5 +0.9 +5.0 +5.0
  Jan 25, 2018 17   @ Ohio St. W 82-79 31%     14 - 8 4 - 5 +20.2 +8.6 +8.6
  Jan 27, 2018 121   Rutgers W 60-43 87%     15 - 8 5 - 5 +17.0 +0.0 +0.0
  Jan 31, 2018 6   @ Michigan St. L 68-76 20%     15 - 9 5 - 6 +12.9 +10.5 +10.5
  Feb 03, 2018 86   Iowa W 82-58 80%     16 - 9 6 - 6 +27.3 +1.6 +1.6
  Feb 07, 2018 45   Maryland W 74-70 68%     17 - 9 7 - 6 +11.4 +3.7 +3.7
  Feb 11, 2018 94   @ Illinois W 74-52 65%     18 - 9 8 - 6 +30.2 +4.1 +4.1
  Feb 15, 2018 17   Ohio St. W 79-56 54%     19 - 9 9 - 6 +34.2 +5.6 +5.6
  Feb 18, 2018 4   @ Purdue L 73-76 20%     19 - 10 9 - 7 +18.1 +10.6 +10.6
  Feb 21, 2018 10   Michigan L 63-72 46%     19 - 11 9 - 8 +4.2 +6.6 +6.6
  Feb 25, 2018 51   @ Nebraska L 64-76 48%     19 - 12 9 - 9 +0.7 +6.4 +6.4
  Mar 01, 2018 79   Northwestern W 65-57 69%     20 - 12 +14.9 +3.5 +3.5
  Mar 02, 2018 17   Ohio St. W 69-68 42%     21 - 12 +15.2 +7.1 +7.1
  Mar 03, 2018 4   Purdue L 70-78 28%     21 - 13 +10.1 +9.0 +9.0
Projected Record 21.0 - 13.0 9.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 12.5% 12.5% 11.1 0.0 0.4 10.1 2.0 0.0 87.5 12.5%
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 12.5% 0.0% 12.5% 11.1 0.0 0.4 10.1 2.0 0.0 87.5 12.5%